Just a month, the original glyphosate from 24,000 yuan / ton up to 27,000 yuan / ton; glufosinate from 16.5 million / ton up to the market mainstream of 17.5 million -18 million / ton, the price At least up 10 thousand yuan / ton. The original drug prices can not increase than in previous years, and a variety of original drug products are also facing tight supply situation. Recently, not only the original drug in short supply, even the pharmaceutical companies have also appeared in the supply of the status quo, and even enterprises have canceled the winter storage policy.
            Recently, there are agents issued an internal notice, requiring enterprise sales staff to strictly control the customer’s hoard volume, once the customer’s hoarding volume exceeds the total supply of the enterprise, it is recommended that customers switch to other products. The above-mentioned companies also mentioned in the notice, if the total amount of more than the total amount of storage, according to the company headquarters customer service receipts and goods received by the time order, did not grab the customer, the company will first try to try to supply, But many of the original drug is to buy can not buy, can only suggest the transfer of other products.
            November and December is the annual pesticide industry, the peak of winter storage orders, according to the situation in previous years, the winter policy of the enterprise has also been released. But this year’s winter storage orders, the whole industry is more low-key. The face of the original drug prices, product supply difficulties, most companies choose the “fixed quantity of goods,” the winter storage policy.
            In fact, from the end of last year, the original drug prices on the way all the way, glyphosate, chlorpyrifos and other raw drugs over the same period last year rose more than 50%, some of the original drug price is doubled, or even priceless. The original drug scarce situation already exists at the beginning, but now near the winter storage, orders demand, coupled with the lack of business preparation, this situation is particularly prominent.
            For the original drug continued to rise in the situation, the industry analysis, production capacity decline, the original drug scarcity is on the one hand, on the other hand is that some of the original drug manufacturers to see the price rise too much, feeling the situation is not optimistic or has exceeded the market Bear the ability to choose not to offer, do not ship, of course, do not rule out the possibility of some companies take the opportunity to raise prices.
            Agricultural industry well-known analyst Cai Zhiwen pointed out that the supply side of the pesticide reform and environmental protection, safety supervision under the pressure caused by the upstream supply of raw materials, the original drug prices will drive the agricultural industry to speed up the elimination of backward production capacity, out of a number of core Competitive small and medium enterprises to promote mergers and acquisitions industry consolidation. “Is expected within five years will be eliminated 40% of small and medium manufacturers.”
            At present, enterprises have begun to price adjustment, the price range of 5% -15% range. Rui Linghui introduction, this is only the normal price adjustment for enterprises, some companies in order to digest the inventory is still in control of their price adjustment rate. The impact of the rise of the original drug feedback to the business side should be to next year in March to performance, is expected on the basis of the current will rise 20% -30%, and the rising situation will continue at least until the end of next spring. “After the situation can not be estimated, but can be expected over the next few years the industry will not be better than the days, but the final survival of those who have the strength, strategy, understand change, focus on agricultural services business.
            It is understood that this year, regardless of the original drug, packaging materials or additives prices have risen at least 30%, and these may eventually be to be borne by the downstream service providers. Rui Linghui introduction, the average farmers can accept the price increase of about 10%, if more than this rate farmers will wait and see, for some of the lower efficiency of the crop area farmers even choose not to use pesticides or less. And dealers or retailers in order to digest the inventory is bound to hit the price war, so the situation next year will be more severe.